For Libyans, the December election represents perhaps the final hope of forming a legitimate government that can achieve long-lasting stability and help energise the fragile economy.
Elections in Libya are scheduled for December 24, 2021, and have raised expectations of strengthening stability and the transition to democracy following a decade of conflict and division. However, doubts are growing as to whether the vote will go ahead as planned. As it stands today, there are several issues that stand out, most notably the lack of consensus around the constitution, as well as the candidacies of highly divisive figures such as Khalifa Haftar and Saif al-Islam al-Gaddafi. Considering the level of fragmentation within Libya, a decisive result is unlikely and it could ultimately lead to a renewed conflict.Download the Policy Outlook