Corridors of Power: The Strategic Stakes of the Türkiye–Libya Deal

The 2019 maritime delimitation agreement between Türkiye and Libya represents a pivotal moment in the geopolitics of the Eastern Mediterranean. Signed between Türkiye and Libya’s internationally recognised Government of National Accord (GNA), the agreement delineates Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZs) between the two countries, granting them significant sovereign rights over potentially hydrocarbon-rich maritime areas. With natural gas reserves in the region estimated at around $700 billion, the strategic and economic implications of this agreement extend well beyond bilateral interests, reshaping regional dynamics and energy politics.

Recent developments have added a new dimension to the agreement’s significance. In a notable shift, Libya’s eastern-based House of Representatives (HoR), which initially opposed the deal, has announced the formation of a technical committee to re-examine the 2019 maritime agreement. Media reports suggest that the HoR is now considering ratifying the accord, a move widely interpreted as part of a broader thaw in relations between Ankara and the eastern Libyan administration. If ratified, this would mark a major turning point by providing unified Libyan support for the agreement, thereby enhancing its political weight and implementation prospects.

The agreement itself emerged in response to mounting regional tensions and competing maritime claims involving Greece, Egypt, and the Southern Greek Cypriot administration. By establishing a formal maritime boundary with Libya, Türkiye countered exclusionary regional projects such as the EastMed pipeline, which aimed to bypass Turkish participation, which has prompted diplomatic realignments and catalysed deeper Turkish engagement with Libya’s internationally recognised government, including energy cooperation and reconstruction initiatives. 

Legally, the Türkiye–Libya MoU rests on robust foundations. The GNA, as the sole internationally recognised authority in Libya at the time, was entitled to agree with international law. Subsequent support from the Government of National Unity (GNU) and the agreement’s registration with the United Nations under Article 102 of the UN Charter further affirm its validity.

This research paper critically examines the Türkiye–Libya maritime agreement through a multidisciplinary lens, analysing its legal basis, geopolitical motivations, and evolving implications. By exploring the treaty’s origins, recent developments, and its potential impact on regional maritime governance, the study seeks to offer a comprehensive assessment of this landmark diplomatic initiative and its role in reshaping the Eastern Mediterranean order.

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Ihsan Faruk Kılavuz
Ihsan Faruk Kılavuz
Ihsan Faruk Kılavuz holds a Bachelor of Laws degree from Ankara Haci Bayram Veli (Ankara Gazi) University (2015–19) and a Master of Laws degree from Queen Mary University of London (2022–23). With one year’s experience as a trainee solicitor, he specialises in public international law — including human rights law and the law of armed conflict — alongside expertise in terrorism issues, migration studies, and international treaty law. He is currently undertaking a PhD in public law at Galatasaray University.

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