This policy outlook examines the future of the Iran nuclear deal, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and aims to analyse political hurdles in front of the revival of the deal.
The JCPOA revival process now seems to be in a deadlock with both the US and Iran demanding that the other take the first step. In addition to the problem of sequencing, the revival process might also suffer from a lack of domestic consensus in Washington on how to address Iran’s behaviours not related to its nuclear programme including its missile programme and regional activities. This is in addition to the potential implications of the upcoming Iranian elections and opposition of certain countries in the region to the original deal. With these pressing challenges, the revival may prove to be more complicated and lengthier than assumed by the US administration.Download the Policy Outlook