A Scenario Analysis: What’s Next for Pakistan?

This policy outlook provides an examination of potential scenarios for Pakistan moving forward including early elections, delayed elections and martial law.

Political turmoil in Pakistan over the past few weeks has left many citizens and country observers perplexed. Prime Minister Imran Khan was ousted from office through a controversial vote of no confidence and was replaced by Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif in April 2022. Fast forward a month later, the country’s politics seems to have come to a standstill with an economic crisis looming. This policy outlook analyses the proceedings of the vote of no confidence, the backlash against political parties and national institutions involved, historical precedents and provides an examination of potential scenarios for the country moving forward including early elections, delayed elections and martial law.

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