Publications

Will the Gulf Move Closer to China?

The Iran war has delivered a profound, systemic shock to the Gulf, fundamentally challenging two assumptions that have underpinned regional stability for the better...

Thrown Under the Bus: The Gulf’s Post-Ceasefire Raw Deal

The U.S.-Israel war on Iran, which began in late February 2026 and escalated through March, paused with a two-week ceasefire on April 7–8. Brokered...

Türkiye in Focus

Türkiye in Focus: 13-17 April 2026 In this week’s Türkiye in Focus: As the Global Sumud Flotilla sets sail, the Istanbul Prosecutor's Office has prepared an...

Türkiye in Focus

Türkiye in Focus: 6-10 April 2026 In this week’s Türkiye in Focus; Regional crises are increasing the demand for new trade routes. In response, Türkiye...

The War on Iran and the Unravelling of Legal Order

Beyond its immediate destabilising effects on the Middle East's balance of power, the February 2026 U.S.-Israel war on Iran has resurrected a contested and...

Weaponising Connectivity: The Iran War and the Rise of Chokepoint Warfare

On the night of 7 April 2026, Iran announced its acceptance of a two-week ceasefire, with negotiations scheduled to commence on 10 April in...

War Beyond War: How Conflict Transmits Crisis

A prolonged war in the Middle East does not only raise the human cost on the battlefield. It also drives energy, transport and import costs higher, placing additional pressure on fragile economies and deepening humanitarian vulnerability across the region.

Türkiye in Focus

In this week’s Türkiye in Focus; • Public backlash in Türkiye against the U.S.–Israeli war on Iran is intensifying. • Turkish intelligence captured a fugitive spy...

Türkiye in Focus

Türkiye in Focus: 23-27 March 2026 In this week’s Türkiye in Focus: Emine Ülker Tarhan’s return to the CHP has raised questions about the party’s direction. Researcher...

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